How do we quantify risks? 项目本身是一个复杂的系统,因而影响它的风险因素很多,影响关系错综复杂。当对项目进行决策时,忽略了其中的某些主要因素,就会导致项目决策的失误,如果考虑的因素过多,就会导致项目问题过于复杂,不利于进行。因此合理的量化风险是非常重要的。风险的辨别应该从系统的观点出发,横向分析项目所涉及的各个方面,纵向预测项目的发展过程,将引起风险的可能事件找出来,将其分解成为比较简单的,容易识别的基本单元。从而找出其中的本质联系,找出本质联系,从而量化风险。 这个答案合理么?
Identifying the occurance probability and the result of risks on projects is a usal way to quantify risk. I think you could make use of the "RISK Table" templates to do that and then determine the risk priority to assign your resource to avoid, mitigate or eliminate the risk accordingly. Acctually, quantifying a risk is a difficult thing. Some risk management principles suggest that the IMPACT on project result could be ranked to four levels: CATASTROPHIC,SEVERE, SLIGHT and NEGLECT. It's enough for you to make decision on where you should focus your sight. But I think that risk classification is the first step you should make and then quantigying.